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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
In a key Eredivisie clash, Eindhoven faces Willem II in a match that will determine three valuable league points. The result will be decided within the normal 90-minute timeframe, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Eindhoven vs Willem II professional Eredivisie soccer game scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Eindhoven wins, the "Eindhoven" market resolves to Yes. If Willem II wins, the "Willem II" market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the "Tie" market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Eindhoven vs Willem II match. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming your own prediction, but this market provides a unique view based on decentralized forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair probability of the event occurring, and this is constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eindhoven vs Willem II match as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on the final score and declare the outcome, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Eindhoven or Willem II could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could also cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to move the prices on Kalshi.