TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Eredivisie match scheduled for October 9, 2026, exceed specified thresholds after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each market corresponds to a different threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals meet or exceeds that threshold. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individuals trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a live market. It's common to see prediction market probabilities adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds, as traders react quickly to developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a consensus view. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, creating a dynamic and informative pricing mechanism for the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final score, including any goals scored during regular play or added time, but excluding penalty shootouts. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Eindhoven or Heerenveen would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, team form leading up to the match, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even public sentiment expressed through polls or analyst predictions could all contribute to shifts in the odds on Kalshi.