TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Eindhoven and Heerenveen, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer rules, with the official result determined after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for both teams in the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Eredivisie match scheduled for October 9, 2026. All markets resolve based on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Specifically, markets assess whether Eindhoven wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether Heerenveen wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The outcome is determined solely by the final score within regular time, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks and branding.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to encourage balanced betting and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price in this market will diverge accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly differs from the initial sportsbook assessment. This can present opportunities for informed traders who identify mispricings between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date information and sentiment surrounding the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, potentially leading to substantial price movements in this market.