TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:58 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Eredivisie clash between Eindhoven and Heerenveen, this event will resolve positively if both clubs score during the 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The focus is exclusively on goals scored in regular time, with own goals counted for the team they are awarded to.
If Eindhoven and Heerenveen both score a goal in the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Eredivisie match originally scheduled for Oct 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing the probability of both teams scoring, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a large influx of information or close to the event date, as the market incorporates new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in the outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Eindhoven and Heerenveen score at least one goal during the match. Official match data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final result will be based on the official game statistics and will be verified to ensure accuracy and fairness, determining payouts for those who traded on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 9, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either Eindhoven or Heerenveen, particularly strikers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Any news regarding team formations or tactical changes announced by the managers could shift trader sentiment. Finally, unexpected upsets in other matches involving these teams could also influence expectations and move the market.