TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a major European league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes without a clear winner.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Eindhoven market occurs if Eindhoven wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Heerenveen market occurs if Heerenveen wins within regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regular time. All markets exclude outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, representing a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach. While sportsbooks might initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on new information and diverse opinions, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the match’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eindhoven vs Heerenveen match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions on Kalshi after the event concludes. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Eindhoven or Heerenveen would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even news regarding weather conditions, which might affect playing style, or tactical announcements from the managers could contribute to movement in this market. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to drive price changes.