TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Spanish Liga F soccer match between Eibar and Madrid CFF. The result is determined solely by the standing after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on whether either team will secure a win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Eibar vs Madrid CFF professional Spanish Liga F soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Eibar wins, the 'Eibar' market resolves to Yes. If Madrid CFF wins, the 'Madrid CFF' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extended play or penalty decisions.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences, as the collective wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi may weigh factors differently than sportsbook analysts. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, particularly when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity directly influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive valuation of the Eibar vs Madrid CFF match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eibar vs Madrid CFF match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player availability for either Eibar or Madrid CFF could significantly shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team form, recent match results, and even weather conditions leading up to the game could all contribute to price fluctuations. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could also impact the volume and pricing of this market.