TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Two Spanish Liga F soccer teams, Eibar and Deportivo, compete in a match scheduled for October 18, 2026. The outcome depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Eibar vs Deportivo professional Spanish Liga F soccer game scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Eibar wins, the 'Eibar' market resolves to Yes. If Deportivo wins, the 'Deportivo' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. If analysts widely predict a certain outcome, but traders disagree and bet against it, the odds will shift accordingly. This can reveal discrepancies between expert predictions and the actual expectations of those with 'skin in the game,' potentially identifying overlooked factors influencing the Eibar vs Deportivo match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the Eibar vs Deportivo match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eibar vs Deportivo match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. The market's final price will represent the collective prediction of all traders.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Eibar or Deportivo would likely impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, even those not directly related to the teams’ performance, could influence trading activity and cause the market to react. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.