TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can and do occur. It’s common to see prediction markets align more closely with informed opinions and potentially identify mispriced opportunities compared to initial sportsbook offerings. However, both can be influenced by public perception and breaking news.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems to be the fair value. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume of $9,146 indicates the level of interest and activity in this particular market, influencing price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Egypt vs. South Africa match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available information and established sports regulations. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or acknowledge their losses based on the final, verified outcome of the match.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Unexpected injuries to key players on either the Egypt or South Africa team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major tactical changes announced by either coaching staff could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, any breaking news regarding team morale, weather conditions, or even political factors could introduce volatility. The closer we get to the match, the more sensitive this market will be to new information and evolving expectations.