TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Egypt and South Africa, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "South Africa" if South Africa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Egypt and South Africa, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Egypt" if Egypt are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "South Africa" if South Africa are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the long run. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading in prediction markets. It's common to see convergence over time as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of market efficiency and information access.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the collective belief of the traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions. The current implied probability of a team scoring first is reflected in the contract prices.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Egypt vs. South Africa match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be assessed based on the official game data and widely accepted sources of sports information. The resolution process aims to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Egypt or South Africa would likely have a significant impact. Any changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trading behavior and cause the odds to fluctuate before Oct 4, 2026.