TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Egypt and South Africa, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Egypt vs. South Africa match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game between Egypt and South Africa, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Egypt vs. South Africa match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the actual outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that prediction markets often become more accurate closer to the event date as more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's collective probability of that score occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth, indicated by the volume traded, also influences price stability and responsiveness to new information. Traders are essentially expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each possible outcome by setting the prices themselves.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Egypt vs. South Africa match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the score as recorded by the official match organizers and reported by widely recognized sports news sources. Any disputes regarding the official score will be resolved using generally accepted sports reporting standards.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Egypt or South Africa would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups or pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ chances of achieving specific scores has the potential to impact trading activity.