TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a competitive match between two national teams in an international friendly. It takes place on the originally scheduled date, with the outcome determined by goals scored within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The focus is on the performance of the teams during the standard match duration.
If Egypt and South Africa both score a goal in the Egypt vs South Africa Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially regarding team news or changes in playing conditions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' occurring in the Egypt vs South Africa match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event happening. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Egypt and South Africa national teams score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The result will be determined based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Egypt or South Africa teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Unexpected tactical decisions by the coaches, or even pre-match team lineup announcements, could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any major upsets in other relevant matches leading up to the event could influence overall market perception and volume.