TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Egypt vs. Malawi
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Egypt vs. Malawi?

Total volume:
$265
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$345
13%
Open interest:
$242
0.51%

Egypt

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:19h:15m

Egypt wins

10%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 80¢ buys you 125 shares | Odds: 10% Total Payout: $125 | Net Profit: $25 Multiplier: 1.25x | ROI: 25% APY not meaningful 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Egypt

Trade
10%
Yes 80¢No 91¢
71¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
$1
1w 3d 19h
Active
polymarket

Egypt

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 16h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 80¢No 91¢
Avg: 82¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Malawi

Trade
5%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
3¢
N/A
$262
0%
N/A
$241
1w 3d 19h
Active
polymarket

Malawi

Trade
50%
Yes 96¢No 97¢
93¢
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 16h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 8¢No 95¢
Avg: 48¢Max: 93¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
60¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 19h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Egypt vs. Malawi)

Trade
32%
Yes 60¢No 97¢
57¢
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 3d 16h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 58.5¢Max: 60¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Egypt vs. Malawi Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers soccer game scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets exist for Egypt winning, Malawi winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi lacks these, creating potential ambiguity in scenarios where the game is not completed as scheduled.Hero tip: Polymarket's market is more robust against game cancellations or abandonment. Kalshi's market may be more susceptible to resolving as 'No' in such cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official rulings or awarded results if the game is abandoned, with a deadline of November 15, 2026, for resolution. If no resolution is achieved by that date, specific conditions determine the outcome. Includes a no-result provision for cancellation or non-start.
  • Kalshi: Resolves solely based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit rules for abandoned or canceled games are provided, potentially leading to ambiguity in such scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers game between Egypt and Malawi, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Egypt vs Malawi professional AFCON Qualifiers soccer match scheduled for November 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Egypt, Malawi, or Tie occurs if the respective team wins, or if the match ends level, within this timeframe. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Egypt vs. Malawi match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $265, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. The dashboard allows you to compare how opinions differ and converge as new information becomes available. It’s a dynamic representation of expectations for this sporting event, combining insights from multiple prediction markets.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at reflecting true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks often have lower limits and wider accessibility, making them suitable for different types of bettors. This market provides an alternative way to assess the likely outcome.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions. Trading mechanisms and liquidity also play a role; Polymarket might have higher volume on a specific outcome, influencing its price relative to Kalshi. Furthermore, the timing of trading activity and news events can create temporary discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Egypt win on 2026-11-13? at 49.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Egypt wins at 10.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Egypt vs. Malawi match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it aligns with their predictions. The platform will then distribute payouts based on the final outcome and the odds at the time of trading. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the winner of this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Egypt or Malawi could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or political events impacting travel arrangements could also play a role. Major media coverage or endorsements from influential figures might also affect trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any late-breaking information will likely lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market, reflecting the evolving probabilities.