TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 17, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 17, 2026, 14:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to discrepancies, where the implied probability from this market diverges from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, particularly when there’s strong public interest or access to unique information. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Derby vs Stoke City match will be used to determine the winning outcome. This includes the final score and any official match results released by the governing football league. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Derby or Stoke City would likely cause significant movement. Team news, such as changes in formation or starting lineups, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team morale, manager statements, or changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks could all contribute to shifts in this market’s price.