TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 5:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 13, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 13, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher demand driving prices up and lower demand driving them down. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds reflect the collective assessment of all participants. Traders are essentially betting against each other, rather than against the house, which can lead to more efficient price discovery. The current implied probability of Cardiff winning, for example, is determined by the price of the 'Cardiff' contract.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cardiff vs Watford match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Cardiff win, a Watford win, or a draw – occurred during the scheduled game. The final score and official match statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the result and settling the contracts on Limitless.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cardiff or Watford would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or expert analysis, can all contribute to movement in the odds. Major upsets in other EFL Championship matches that affect relegation or promotion battles might also indirectly impact the perceived value of this market.