TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Efimenko Ivan and Merzlikin Valerii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 22 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Efimenko Ivan' if Efimenko Ivan wins against Merzlikin Valerii. This market will resolve to 'Merzlikin Valerii' if Merzlikin Valerii wins against Efimenko Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Efimenko Ivan and Merzlikin Valerii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 22 at 9:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Efimenko Ivan' if Efimenko Ivan wins against Merzlikin Valerii. This market will resolve to 'Merzlikin Valerii' if Merzlikin Valerii wins against Efimenko Ivan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the fight's likely result, driven by informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Efimenko vs. Merzlikin fight, as declared by the relevant governing body or fight promoter. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about fight conditions, such as a change in weight class or venue, could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, any updates from reputable sources regarding the fighters’ physical or mental preparation could sway trader sentiment and alter the implied probabilities within this market.