TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates if Edmonton and Utah will collectively exceed various goal thresholds in their NHL contest. The resolution hinges on the sum of goals scored during regulation and overtime, with shootout goals counted as a single goal for the winning team.
Similar to the Pittsburgh vs Vegas market, multiple thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals) apply. All goals from regulation and overtime count fully, and a shootout contributes one goal to the winner. Postponements within 48 hours allow the game to proceed, while cancellations or missed start times lead to fair price resolution across all markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by a range of factors, including news, injuries, and overall market sentiment about the teams involved. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a fair and efficient market for forecasting the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Edmonton vs Utah match will be the determining factor. The final score, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders who correctly predicted the total goals will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. It’s important to note that the official result is what dictates the market’s settlement, not preliminary reports or unofficial sources.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Edmonton or Utah would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, might also play a role. Finally, any significant public announcements or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive or defensive capabilities could influence trading activity and move the market.