TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:43 PM EST
Kalshi
The result hinges on the winner of the NHL contest between Edmonton and San Jose on October 10, 2026. The victorious team's market will close positively, and the defeated team's will close negatively. Any delay of up to 48 hours from the scheduled start does not change the market's resolution.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the NHL game between Edmonton and San Jose scheduled for October 10, 2026. If San Jose wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Edmonton wins, its market resolves to Yes. Postponements within 48 hours of the scheduled start keep markets open for final-result-based resolution. Games cancelled or not starting within 48 hours result in all markets resolving to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market can adjust rapidly based on new data or changing sentiment. Analyzing the difference between these odds can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing circumstances, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Edmonton vs San Jose game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even unexpected weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Any news regarding the health or availability of star players for either Edmonton or San Jose would likely cause a rapid adjustment in the odds. Furthermore, significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in team performance could also influence trading activity. Unexpected lineup changes announced close to game time could also create volatility in the market.