TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses different margin-of-victory scenarios in an upcoming NHL game between Edmonton and New York R. It evaluates whether either team secures a decisive lead by specific goal differentials. The outcomes reflect varying levels of dominance in the contest.
All markets resolve based on the official result of the Edmonton vs New York R NHL game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, with specific win-margin thresholds determining resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the margin-focused outcome criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the Edmonton vs New York spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements are driven by factors like news about player injuries, team performance, and public sentiment, all of which are weighed by traders making their decisions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Edmonton vs New York game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' side of the spread wins. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Edmonton or New York teams would likely cause movement. Changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, major announcements about coaching strategies or changes in the game's location could influence trading activity. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role in how this market evolves.