TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 8:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Edmonton or New York R will win their NHL hockey game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Edmonton a 99.0% probability of winning, while New York R is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Edmonton vs New York R NHL game, as determined by official game results. Keep an eye on November 1, 2026 – the originally scheduled game date – as the outcome will depend on which team wins the match played on that day.
The event determines the winner of the NHL game between Edmonton and New York R originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, the result will still govern the resolution. However, if the game is canceled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller number of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs through trading. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing expectations. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest probability, is Edmonton wins.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Edmonton vs New York R event. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategies, or unexpected performance during prior games could shift trader sentiment. Major announcements related to the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, would also likely cause movement. Even broader factors, like significant weather forecasts impacting travel or game conditions, could play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve before it resolves.