TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Edmonton and New York I, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team wins by a specific number of goals or more, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the match.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating whether a team wins by a specified goal margin—either over 1.5 or 2.5 goals—in the Edmonton versus New York I NHL game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If New York I wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Edmonton wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may adjust lines based on public betting patterns, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of Edmonton winning by over 2.5 goals, and traders can adjust their positions based on their own analysis and expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by official game statistics, and this market will pay out based on whether the actual spread exceeds or falls short of the market’s final price. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Edmonton versus New York game, as reported by a trusted sports data source and verified by Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event might also affect perceptions of team strength. Major announcements about team lineups or coaching changes would likely cause significant movement. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of Edmonton winning by over 2.5 goals has the potential to impact the market.