TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 12:47 AM EST
Kalshi
Bettors assess whether one team will dominate the other by a margin greater than a specified number of goals. The focus is solely on the difference in goals between the two teams at the end of the match.
Markets resolve based on whether Anaheim or Edmonton wins by more than the specified goal margin in the NHL game scheduled for Oct 7, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Typically, you’ll find that this market incorporates a broader range of information and can react more quickly to news and developments than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe the spread will go one way, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Edmonton vs Anaheim game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sports league and verified against established sports data sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive nothing. The market will close prior to this date to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Edmonton or Anaheim teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or strategic shifts could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could also drive changes in the market price as we approach Oct 8, 2026.