TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Vitória and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória score more goals than Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Vitória and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score more goals than EC Vitória in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Vitória and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Vitória" if EC Vitória score more goals than Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if EC Vitória and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score more goals than EC Vitória in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can emerge due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, as traders react quickly to developments. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing the potential value in either venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting a growing expectation that it will happen. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket, and provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team wins the second half of the EC Vitória vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol match. Official match data will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the outcome is officially recorded. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Also, real-time updates during the first half of the match, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. General sentiment and public opinion, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role. Unexpected weather conditions or referee decisions during the match could also be catalysts for movement in this market.