TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 12:52 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between EC Bahia and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between EC Bahia and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "EC Bahia" if EC Bahia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "São Paulo FC" if São Paulo FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market allows anyone to express their belief, leading to a more aggregated and potentially more informed prediction. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they diverge significantly from the prediction market. It’s always wise to compare both to make the most informed decision.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, either Bahia or São Paulo scoring first. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people believe Bahia will score first, the price of those shares will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Bahia vs. São Paulo match. Any goals disallowed by the referee, or awarded after full time, will not be considered. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bahia or São Paulo would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift predictions. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Any significant news or developments related to the teams or the match itself could impact trading activity and, therefore, the odds.