TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:07 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and São Paulo FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each exact score. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the market anticipates value or disagreements with the sportsbook’s assessment of the EC Bahia vs. São Paulo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and opinions. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by factors like team news, injuries, and overall sentiment towards the EC Bahia vs. São Paulo match. The platform uses this dynamic pricing to establish a clear and transparent probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the EC Bahia vs. São Paulo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either EC Bahia or São Paulo FC would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from analysts, could influence trader sentiment. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of different exact scores in the EC Bahia vs. São Paulo match has the potential to move the market.