TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and Mirassol FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and Mirassol FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to note that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is always perfectly accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official halftime result as declared by the governing football league will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on which team, if any, is leading at the end of the first half of the EC Bahia vs. Mirassol FC match. Any potential overtime or extra time periods are not considered for this market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either EC Bahia or Mirassol could significantly shift the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions released by sports commentators could sway the market. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed shortly before kickoff could also lead to price movements in this market.