TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves betting on the point differential between Eastern Washington and UC Davis in their October 3, 2026 college football game. Markets cover various margins of victory for either team.
Markets resolve to Yes if UC Davis wins by more than the specified point margin, or if Eastern Washington wins by more than the specified point margin in the reverse markets. Postponements within 48 hours allow continued betting, while delays beyond that lead to fair price settlements. Kalshi emphasizes no official NCAA connection, and trademarks remain property of respective entities.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Eastern Washington vs UC Davis spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process creates a constantly updating assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Eastern Washington vs UC Davis game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract's spread, and to 0 if it does not. All trading will cease once the outcome is known, and winning contracts will be paid out accordingly. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Eastern Washington or UC Davis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment could also shift the market. Unexpected upsets in other games involving these teams, or major changes in team performance, could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.