TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether UC Davis will win its college football game against Eastern Washington. Currently, the probability of UC Davis winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Eastern Washington winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if UC Davis wins the contest scheduled to conclude by the resolution date of October 4, 2026.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Eastern Washington vs UC Davis college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official result of the Eastern Washington vs UC Davis game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also have an impact. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the odds, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the probability of different outcomes.