TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Eastern Michigan vs. UMass
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Eastern Michigan vs. UMass?

Volume:
$901,604

Eastern Michigan

 - Kalshi

Eastern Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 6:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eastern Michigan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$308,438
N/A
N/A
$186,423
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Eastern Michigan vs. UMass

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
93%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 47.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UMass

View
0%
67%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346,013
N/A
N/A
$218,712
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$185,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 216

Intro

This market tracks the total number of fourth down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the Eastern Michigan versus UMass college football game. Currently, the consensus probability of Eastern Michigan vs. UMass: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on data reported at https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final fourth down conversion statistics will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves if either team wins, while Polymarket specifies which team must win. This creates a SKU risk as Kalshi doesn't differentiate between outcomes.Hero tip: If you believe the game will happen, Kalshi is the place to trade. If you have a strong opinion on which team will win, Polymarket is more suitable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Eastern Michigan or UMass wins the game. Key Quote: "If UMass wins the Eastern Michigan vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eastern Michigan wins the Eastern Michigan vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Eastern Michigan' or 'UMass' depending on the winner. Resolves 50/50 in case of a tie or cancellation. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan" if Eastern Michigan win the game. This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Eastern Michigan and UMass, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eastern Michigan" if Eastern Michigan win the game. This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Eastern Michigan or UMass wins the college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the EMU vs. UMass game. Consequently, you might find discrepancies between the implied probabilities in prediction markets and those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges and the event draws closer. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the EMU vs. UMass game. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and wider spreads. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading behavior and, ultimately, the prices observed. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing you see across different prediction markets.