TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team could win during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Eastern Michigan vs Ohio college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by more than the indicated point margin within that timeframe. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning neither 'Yes' nor 'No' outcomes are enforced but rather priced according to market conditions at that point. The markets cover a range of possible outcomes from narrow victories to larger point differentials for both teams.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. However, this market allows anyone to trade, and the price can shift as new information and opinions emerge. It’s common to see prediction markets move closer to the final outcome as the event approaches, sometimes even anticipating changes before traditional sportsbooks do. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular spread, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions align with the actual result. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likely first-half spread.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual first-half spread of the Eastern Michigan vs Ohio game, as determined by official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the correct spread, and 0 for all other contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Eastern Michigan or Ohio teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and drive price changes as we approach the Oct 24, 2026 resolution of this market.