TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Buffalo Bulls
Volume:
$112,222
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Eastern Michigan Eagles and Buffalo Bulls scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents 11 overlapping point-differential conditions that collectively cover nearly all possible outcomes, creating structural ambiguity about market intent and settlement logic. Polymarket uses conventional moneyline, spread, and total formats with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative settlement reference. The moneyline resolves based on final score winner; the spread resolves based on Buffalo covering -3.5 (win by 4+); totals resolve based on combined points. For Kalshi, clarify whether the 11 conditions represent 11 separate binary markets or a single market with multiple Yes triggers. If the latter, the market is effectively always Yes except in narrow point-differential bands.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 11 conditions covering point differentials: Eastern Michigan wins by >2.5, >5.5, >8.5, >11.5 points OR Buffalo wins by >1.5, >4.5, >7.5, >10.5, >13.5, >16.5, >19.5 points. Each resolves to Yes independently. Quote: 'If Eastern Michigan wins by more than 2.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (condition 7) and 'If Buffalo wins by more than 1.5 points... then the market resolves to Yes' (condition 9).
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Moneyline—resolves to winner name only; (2) Spread (Buffalo -3.5)—resolves Buffalo if win by 4+, otherwise Eastern Michigan; (3) Totals (O/U 142.5 and 144.5)—resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold, Under otherwise. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Buffalo Bulls if the Buffalo Bulls win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Eastern Michigan Eagles.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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