TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the potential margin of victory in a college football game between Eastern Illinois and Gardner-Webb. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that determines whether the market settles positively or negatively. The contests focus on forecasting the relative performance of the two teams on game day.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Eastern Illinois vs Gardner-Webb college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Gardner-Webb wins by exceeding the specified point margin, relevant 'Gardner-Webb wins by over X points' markets resolve to Yes; if Eastern Illinois wins by exceeding its specified margin, those markets resolve to Yes. All markets remain active if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time. If the game does not commence within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds over time. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and attempt to balance action on both sides, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, potentially offering a different perspective than what’s available at traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the EIU vs Gardner-Webb game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a consensus view. The current market depth and order flow are visible on the dashboard, providing transparency into the pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Eastern Illinois vs Gardner-Webb game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the EIU or Gardner-Webb teams would likely cause movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to player eligibility or game location could also shift the odds. Monitoring sports news, team updates, and public analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market in either direction.