TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether East Tennessee State will win its college football game against VMI. Currently, the probability of East Tennessee St. winning on Kalshi is 98.0%, while VMI winning is at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the East Tennessee St. vs VMI college football game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on team preparations and any injury reports leading up to the game on October 24, 2026, as these could influence the final result.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game on the scheduled date. Postponements within 48 hours of the original start keep the market open for resolution based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it is not associated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially emphasize publicly available information and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. Over time, prediction market prices can converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available, but differences can persist due to varying levels of information and differing incentives among participants. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's life.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the East Tennessee St vs VMI game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers resolution will be the final score and the winning team, as determined by the official game statistics. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the verified result.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 24, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in coaching strategies or team performance. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also shift the odds. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also play a role, though the market's focus is on incorporating all available information to arrive at the most accurate probability assessment. Any significant development related to the teams involved could move the market.