TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the East Carolina vs UAB college football game will exceed 26.5. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 26.5 points on Kalshi is 76.0%. The resolution source for this market is based on the final score of the East Carolina vs UAB game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026, with a resolution date estimate of 2026-10-16, so keep a close eye on the game’s final score as reported following the conclusion of play on that date.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both East Carolina and UAB in their college football game scheduled for October 15, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score of the game as played. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the final points total. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and incorporate new information faster than sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential total points for the East Carolina vs UAB game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected outcome. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to a specific points total.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total, as officially recorded by the game's governing body, will determine which contracts settle at 100 and which settle at 0. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total points will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for different totals will not. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on the official game results.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either East Carolina or UAB would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as public betting trends from sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the market's price as traders react to new information.