TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the East Carolina versus Memphis college football game will exceed 45.5. Currently, the probability of the game scoring over 45.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the East Carolina vs Memphis game, as reported according to the rules specified in the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as this market will resolve to Yes if the teams collectively score more than 53.5 points in the game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, with final resolution occurring by October 23, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by East Carolina and Memphis in their game scheduled for October 22, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 33.5 to 75.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, and prices adjust based on collective beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. While sportsbooks may initially have different lines, they often adjust closer to prediction market prices as the event approaches, influenced by public betting patterns and new information. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about whether the total points scored in the East Carolina vs Memphis game will be over or under a specific number. The price of these contracts reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The closer to the event, the more responsive the prices become to relevant news and developments.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the East Carolina vs Memphis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the relevant contract price. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the definitive record for resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the East Carolina or Memphis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, as the game approaches, large volume trades from informed participants could cause rapid price shifts, reflecting their assessment of the evolving probabilities.