TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being met or exceeded by either team.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals from the East Carolina vs Memphis college football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. For any market specifying a team scoring over a certain threshold (e.g., Memphis over X points or East Carolina over Y points), if the team achieves that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a substantial amount of volume is traded.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing predictions about the team totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. This allows the market to efficiently incorporate diverse perspectives and arrive at a collective forecast for the East Carolina vs Memphis game.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the East Carolina vs Memphis game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the governing body of college football. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual team totals exceeded or fell short of the contract’s specified value. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either East Carolina or Memphis would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as significant betting activity in sportsbooks, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.