TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Memphis will win the college football game against East Carolina by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives Memphis winning by over 1.5 points an 84.0% probability. The market resolves based on the outcome of the East Carolina vs Memphis college football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if East Carolina wins by more than 2.5 points in the contest, with final resolution expected around the estimated date of 2026-10-23.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the East Carolina vs Memphis college football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. If Memphis wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the markets labeled "Memphis wins by over X points," that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if East Carolina wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any of the markets labeled "East Carolina wins by over X points," that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For games postponed but commencing within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in situations where public perception differs from expert analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the East Carolina vs Memphis game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the market. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a particular spread is likely, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will decrease.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the East Carolina vs Memphis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered, and to 0 for contracts on spreads that do not match the final result. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the East Carolina or Memphis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market isn’t solely driven by external opinions. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and move the price.