TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains prediction markets on the performance of players in the Eagles vs. Commanders NFL game on November 1st. Markets cover passing touchdowns, anytime touchdowns, longest receptions, and passing attempts for key players like Jayden Daniels, Tanner McKee, Dallas Goedert, and Stefon Diggs.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Eagles and Commanders, scheduled for November 1 at 8:20 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Eagles and Commanders, scheduled for November 1 at 8:20 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from a sportsbook’s initial assessment. However, both types of odds aim to accurately predict the probability of an event occurring, and this market often converges with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with low volume on one platform can be more susceptible to price swings. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting prices – how traders can buy and sell shares – differ between Polymarket and Predict, which can influence price discovery. These differences in user behavior, volume, and market mechanics can lead to varying probabilities for the same player props.