TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in Germany's third-tier league. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event considers all possible outcomes of the match, including a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dusseldorf vs Saarbrucken professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Dusseldorf wins, the 'Dusseldorf' market resolves to Yes. If Saarbrucken wins, the 'Saarbrucken' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, driving the price towards their perceived fair value. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies, and potentially, opportunities for informed traders to profit based on differing viewpoints.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price is entirely determined by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dusseldorf vs Saarbrucken match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Match previews, expert analysis, and even public opinion expressed on social media can also play a role. Furthermore, significant bets placed by large traders on Kalshi could create short-term price movements, as others react to these signals. Monitoring these events will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.