TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Duquesne and Stonehill on October 17th. Markets include the winner of the game, the point spread, and the over/under total points scored. The markets provide opportunities to predict the outcome and specific aspects of the game.
In the upcoming college football game between Duquesne and Stonehill, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duquesne" if Duquesne win the game. This market will resolve to "Stonehill" if Stonehill win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Duquesne and Stonehill, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Duquesne" if Duquesne win the game. This market will resolve to "Stonehill" if Stonehill win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. The efficiency of information aggregation in these markets can sometimes result in more accurate predictions than traditional methods.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict for the Duquesne vs. Stonehill game can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to distinct market dynamics. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform influence price discovery; lower volume may result in wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. These factors combine to create potentially different implied probabilities for the same event across the two venues.