TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:15 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams, Duquesne and New Haven, will compete in a match scheduled for October 31, 2026. The outcome hinges on which team secures a victory in this head-to-head contest. Betting interests focus on predicting the winner of this athletic showdown.
The market resolves to Yes if either Duquesne or New Haven wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or initial sportsbook lines, as they continuously adjust based on new information and diverse opinions. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal discrepancies and potentially highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes, but remember that both represent different forms of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current top market on Kalshi is for New Haven to win, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Duquesne vs New Haven game, as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The final outcome will be determined by the official game results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in momentum could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is evolving and potential opportunities for traders.