TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dundee United and Hibernian, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Dundee United vs Hibernian Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Dundee United winning by more than 2.5 goals, Dundee United winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hibernian winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hibernian winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty outcomes. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts based on their own beliefs about the outcome of the Scottish Premiership match. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price reflects the collective belief of those trading on the platform regarding the probability of the spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Dundee United will win by more than 2.5 goals, the price for that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions based on available information.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread achieved in the Scottish Premiership match between Dundee United and Hibernian. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Dundee United or Hibernian would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. News regarding tactical approaches or potential lineup changes could also impact the market. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive trading activity and influence prices.