TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dundee United and Aberdeen, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the standard match timeframe. Different thresholds define various possible outcomes.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Dundee United vs Aberdeen professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Dundee United wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Dundee United wins by more than 1.5 goals, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. The same resolution logic applies to Aberdeen, with separate markets for wins by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market benefits from the insights of many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The spread itself represents the difference in points expected between Dundee United and Aberdeen, and the market allows you to take a position on whether the actual difference will be higher or lower than the current price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Scottish Premiership match between Dundee United and Aberdeen is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league organizers. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will forfeit their stake. The final spread will be determined by the point difference between the two teams at the end of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Dundee United or Aberdeen could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major events affecting the broader Scottish Premiership, such as other match results or league standings, could indirectly influence the market. Shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, will also contribute to price movements in this market.