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Closed: Oct 24, 11:55 AM EST
Kalshi
Dundee United plays host to Aberdeen in a Scottish Premiership game where the central issue is whether each team will score at least one goal in the allotted 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time or penalties do not factor into the resolution of this event.
If Dundee United and Aberdeen both score a goal in the Dundee United vs Aberdeen Scottish Premiership match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. Comparing these odds can highlight areas where the market believes there's value or where sportsbooks may be mispricing the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time view of collective prediction. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Dundee United and Aberdeen score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dundee United or Aberdeen would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news could trigger trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of goals being scored by either team has the potential to move this market.