TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dundee United and Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the match after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market also includes an option for a tied result.
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Dundee United vs Aberdeen Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026: a win for Dundee United, a win for Aberdeen, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant amount of volume flows towards a particular outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially signaling a different expectation than that of traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and adjust probabilities faster than sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Scottish Premiership match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score through official sources to determine which outcome aligns with the market's possibilities. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome based on the actual event results.
Several factors could influence the odds of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Dundee United or Aberdeen would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even managerial changes, could introduce new uncertainties and drive trading activity. Major tactical announcements or pre-match analyses from reputable sports commentators might also contribute to movements in this market as traders react to new information.