TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:15h:37m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Dundee United FC and Motherwell FC on November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Dundee United winning, Motherwell winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Dundee United FC and Motherwell FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dundee United vs Motherwell professional Scottish Premiership soccer match originally scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Dundee United wins, the 'Dundee United' market resolves to Yes. If Motherwell wins, the 'Motherwell' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the 'wisdom of the crowd,' where traders directly buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially reflect public perception, prediction markets tend to converge towards a more refined estimate as trading volume increases.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Scottish Premiership match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions reflected in trading activity. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Differences in the fees charged by each platform, or even the user interface, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-11-07? at 47.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Dundee United wins at 48.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Scottish Premiership match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official result published by the league organizers, and will be assessed against publicly available data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement on both Polymarket and Kalshi.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in managerial staff for either Dundee United FC or Motherwell FC could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, broader news related to the Scottish Premiership, such as suspensions or referee assignments, might influence trader sentiment. A significant shift in public opinion, reflected in media coverage or social media trends, could also lead to price movements in this market.