TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dundee FC and Rangers, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The event is based on the official game scheduled for October 17, 2026, and only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time count toward resolution.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Dundee FC or Rangers wins the match. If Dundee FC wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Dundee FC wins by more than 1.5 goals, that market resolves to Yes. For Rangers, winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals each has its own corresponding Yes resolution. All outcomes are determined solely by the result after the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding the event. These differences can arise from varying information access, differing risk assessments, or simply the dynamic nature of a live market. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions about the spread in the Dundee vs Rangers match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates the probability that the spread will fall within a certain range, as determined by the aggregated trading activity on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Dundee vs Rangers match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official final score difference between the two teams, as reported by official sources. The platform will then determine whether the spread settled above or below the contract price, triggering payouts to winning traders. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of the outcome, and any disputes will be resolved based on this verified data.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Dundee FC or Rangers would likely have a significant impact, as would any unexpected changes in team form or tactical approaches. News regarding weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and overall score. Finally, any significant public announcements or shifts in sentiment – perhaps driven by expert analysis – could also lead to changes in the price of contracts in this market.