TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dundee FC and Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership. The result depends solely on who wins the match after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result: Dundee FC win, Kilmarnock win, or a tied score at the end of regulation time. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, reflecting the inability to determine a definitive result under the stated conditions. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injuries – and as the event approaches, you may see the odds on Kalshi converge or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on how the market interprets the new data. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dundee FC or Kilmarnock would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also shift the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Oct 28, 2026 will provide valuable insights into potential catalysts for price changes.