TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Dumbarton FC and Keith FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Dumbarton FC" if Dumbarton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Keith FC" if Keith FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Dumbarton FC and Keith FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Dumbarton FC" if Dumbarton FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Keith FC" if Keith FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, represents a more fluid assessment of probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changing circumstances than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and updates, constantly adjusting the probabilities until the event concludes. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Dumbarton or Keith—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from football experts could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, major events impacting either team’s morale or performance in recent games could influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.