TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Czech National Football League. It allows participants to speculate on whether Dukla Prague, Kladno, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Dukla Prague vs Kladno professional Czech National Football League soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Dukla Prague or Kladno markets occurs only if the respective team secures a win within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. These rules apply uniformly across all related markets, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different costs and incentives, leading to potential differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Dukla Prague vs Kladno match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence. The closer we get to Oct 23, 2026, the more the prices will likely converge towards the true probability of each outcome, as risk is reduced and uncertainty diminishes.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dukla Prague vs Kladno match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract corresponding to the winning outcome will pay out $1.00, while contracts for losing outcomes will be worth $0.00. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market settles.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team performance or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can create momentum and move the market, as traders react to each other's actions and new information. Monitoring sports news and analyzing team statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts.