TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Czech National Football League between Dukla Prague and FC Banik Ostrava B. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether either team will win or if the match will end in a tie based on the game's regulation time conclusion.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dukla Prague vs FC Banik Ostrava B professional Czech National Football League soccer match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Dukla Prague win, FC Banik Ostrava B win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns or promotional considerations, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest probability, is FC Banik Ostrava B wins, though this can change rapidly with new trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dukla Prague vs FC Banik Ostrava B match, as determined by official league standings and game statistics. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result, as that will be the basis for settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Dukla Prague or FC Banik Ostrava B, changes in team form or coaching staff, and even weather conditions that might affect the match. Unexpected announcements, such as changes to the starting lineup, could also trigger significant price movements. General shifts in public perception or expert analysis of the teams’ chances could also contribute to changes in this market.